List of publications

Peer reviewed Journal articles

Giordano R, M Brugnach and I Pluchinotta. 2016. Ambiguity in problem framing as a barrier to collective actions: some hints from groundwater protection policy in the Apulia Region. Group Decision and Negotiation. In Press.

Hassenforder E, M Brugnach, B Cullen, N Ferrand, O Barreteau, KA Daniell and J Pittok. 2016. Managing frame diversity in environmental participatory processes - Example from the Fogera Woreda in Ethiopia. Journal of Environmental Management. 177, 288-297

Brugnach M, M Craps and A Dewulf. 2014. Including indigenous peoples in climate change mitigation: addressing issues of scale, knowledge and power. Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-014-1280-3

Leskens JG, M Brugnach and AY Hoekstra. 2014. Climate proof cities: application of an Interactive Water Simulation Model in Urban Water Management, a case study in Amsterdam. Water Science and Technology. 70(11)1729-1739

Van den Hoek RE, M Brugnach, JPM Mulder and AY Hoekstra. 2014. Uncovering the origin of ambiguity in nature-inclusive flood infrastructure projects, Ecology and Society, 19(2): 51.

Van den Hoek RE, M Brugnach, JPM Mulder, AY Hoekstra. 2014. Analyzing the cascades of uncertainty in flood defense projects: How “not knowing enough” is related to “knowing differently”.  Global Environmental Change, 24: 373–388

Leskens JG, M Brugnach, A Hoekstra and W Schuurmans. 2014. Why are decisions in flood disaster management so little supported by information from flood models? Environmental Modelling & Software, 53: 53-61 Best PhD paper of the year 2015 award of the Twente Water Centre.

Brugnach M and H Ingram, 2012. Ambiguity: The challenges of knowing and deciding together. Environmental Science and Policy, 15: 60-71

Van den Hoek RE, M Brugnach and AY Hoekstra, 2012. Shifting to ecological engineering in flood management: introducing new uncertainties in the development of a Building with Nature pilot project, Environmental Science and Policy, 22(1): 85-99

Henriksen H-J, P Zorrilla-Miras, A de la Hera, and M Brugnach. 2012. Use of Bayesian networks for dealing with ambiguity in integrated groundwater management. Integrated Environmental Assessments and Management, 8(3): 430-444

Brugnach M, A Dewulf, HJ Henricksen and P van der Keur. 2011. More is not always better: Coping with ambiguity in natural resources management. Journal of Environmental Management, 92(1):78-84

Pahl-Wostl C, P Jeffrey, N Isendahl and M Brugnach. 2011. Maturing the new water management paradigm: Progressing from aspiration to practice. Water Resources Management, 25(3)837-856. DOI: 10.1007/s11269-010-9729-2

Van der Keur P, M Brugnach, A Dewulf, JC Refsgaard, P Zorilla, M Poolman, N Isendahl, GT Raadgever, HJ Henriksen, JJ Warmink, M Lamers and J Mysiak. 2010. Identifying Uncertainty Guidelines for Supporting Policy Making in Water Management Illustrated for Upper Guadiana and Rhine Basins. Water Resource Management, 24(14):3901-3938

Rupp DE, RF Keim, M Ossiander, M Brugnach, and JS Selker. 2009. Time Scale and Intensity Dependency in Multiplicative Cascades for Temporal Rainfall Disaggregation.Time scale and intensity dependency in multiplicative cascades for temporal rainfall disaggregation.  Water Resour. Res., 45, W07409, doi:10.1029/2008WR007321

Isendahl N, A Dewulf, M Brugnach, G François, S Möllenkamp and C Pahl-Wostl. 2009. Assessing framing of uncertainties in water management practice. Water Resources Management, 23(15): 3191

Hart Q, M Brugnach, B Temesgen, C Rueda, S Ustin, K Frame. 2009. Daily reference evapotranspiration for California using satellite imagery and weather station measurements interpolation. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems. http:

Brugnach M, A Dewulf, C Pahl-Wostl and T Taillieu. 2008. Towards a relational concept of uncertainty: about knowing too little, knowing too differently and accepting not to know. Ecology & Society, 13(2).

Van der Keur P, HJ Henriksen, JC Refsgaard, M Brugnach, C Pahl-Wostl, A Dewulf and H Buiteveld. 2008. Identification of Major Sources of Uncertainty in Current IWRM Practice Illustrated for the Rhine basin. Water Resources Management, 22:1677–1708. DOI 10.1007/s11269-008-9248-6

Holtz G, M Brugnach and C Pahl-Wostl. 2007. Specifying “Regime” - A Framework for defining and describing Regimes in Transition Research. Technological Forecasting and social change.

Brugnach M, A Tagg, F Keil, and W de Lange. 2007. Uncertainty matters: computer models at the science-policy interface. Water Resources Management, 21:1075-1090

Brugnach M, C Pahl-Wostl, KE Lindenschmidt, JAEB Janssen, T Filatova, A Mouton, G Holtz, P van der Keur and N Gaber. 2007. Complexity and uncertainty: rethinking the modelling activity. Environmental Modelling and Software and Decision Support - Developments in Integrated Environmental Assessment (DIEA) - Vol – 3.

Brugnach M. 2005. Process level sensitivity analysis for complex ecological models. Ecological Modelling, 187:99-120

Kittel TGF, NA Rosenbloom, JA Royle, C Daly, WP Gibson, HH Fisher, P Thornton, DN Yates, S Aulenbach, C Kaufman, R McKeown, D Bachelet, DS Schimel, VEMAP2 Participants.  2004.  VEMAP Phase 2 bioclimatic database. I. Gridded historical (20th) century climate for modeling ecosystem dynamics across the conterminous USA. Climate Research, 27(2):151-170 

Brugnach M, J Bolte and G Bradshaw. 2003. Determining the significance of threshold uncertainty in rule-based classification models. Ecological Modelling, 160:63-76 (

Bachelet D, M Brugnach and RP Neilson. 1998. Sensitivity of a biogeography model to soil properties. Ecological Modelling, 109:77-98

Refereed Book Chapters

Brugnach M and H Ingram. Ways of Knowing and the co-Production of Blended Knowledge. Book chapter in Science and Scientists in the Contemporary Policy Process: Changing Context, Changing Science and the Challenge of Science Impact, E. Weber, D. Lach and B. Steel. Eds. Oregon State University Press. Accepted, to be published in 2017.

Craps M and M Brugnach. 2015. A relational approach to deal with ambiguity in multi-actor governance for sustainability, Management of Natural Resources, Sustainable Development and Ecological Hazards IV, Vol (199), 233 pages. WIT press Publisher.

Dewulf A, M Brugnach, C Termeer and H Ingram. 2013. Bridging knowledge frames and networks in climate and water governance. In Water Governance as Connective Capacity Edelenbos J, Bressers N and P Scholten Eds. Ashgate, ISBN 978-1-4094-4746-7.

Brugnach M and H Ingram. 2012. Rethinking the role of humans in water management: towards a new model of decision-making. In Water, cultural diversity and environmental change: emerging trends, sustainable futures? B Rose Johnston, Editor-in-chief, Springer, ISBN 978-94-007-1773-2.

Brugnach M, P van der Keur, H-J Henriksen and J Mysiak. 2009. Uncertainty in adaptive water management. NeWater Synthesis Product # 2.

Brugnach M, P van der Keur, J Mysiak, H-J Henriksen. 2009. Uncertainty in water management. In The Adaptive Water Resource Management Handbook. Edited by Jaroslav Mysiak, Hans Jørgen Henrikson, Caroline Sullivan, John Bromley and Claudia Pahl-Wostl. Earthscan, pp216. ISBN 9781844077922.

Brugnach M and C Pahl-Wostl. 2007. A broadened view on the role for models in natural resource management: Implications for model development. In Pahl-Wostl C, Kabat P and J Möltgen. 2007. Adaptive and Integrated Water Management. Coping with Complexity and Uncertainty, Springer Verlag, 184-203.

Reports and Non-peered reviewed publications

Brugnach M. 2016. Knowledge co-production: a new trend in global assessments? September issue of TIAS Newsletter (

Brugnach M, H Nieße, C Varela and C Pahl-Wostl. Modeling transitions to adaptive management: considering values and beliefs in decision making. 2009. Deliverable of the EU 6th FP NeWater project (

Dewulf A, G François, M Brugnach, N Isendahl, T Taillieu, C Pahl-Wostl, S Moellenkamp. 2008. The role of uncertainty, ambiguity and framing in transition to adaptive management. About knowing too little, accepting not to know and knowing too differently. Deliverable of the EU 6th FP NeWater project (

Brugnach M and C Pahl-Wostl. 2007. Putting uncertainty into context: implications of model purpose in dealing with uncertainty. Global Assessments: Bridging Scales and Linking to Policy. GWSP, Issues in Global Water System Research. Report 2: 108-113.

Pahl-Wostl C, P Jeffrey, M Brugnach and J Sendzimir. 2007. Adaptive water management: How to cope with uncertainty. NeWater 6th framework program. Policy Brief. CAIWA International Conference on Adaptive and Integrated Water Management - Coping with Complexity and Uncertainty. Basel, Switzerland.

Brugnach M and C Pahl-Wostl. 2007. Development of a model to analyze transitions to adaptive management regimes: Incorporating the role of humans and culture in decision making. Report on the CoMo model summarizing methods and first results.  NeWater 6th framework program, Report D1.7.4a.

Pahl-Wostl C, N Isendahl, S Möllenkamp, M Brugnach, P Jeffrey, W Medema and T Tessa de Vries. Paradigms in water management. NeWater 6th framework program, Report D1.1.2.

Van der Keur P, M Brugnach, C Pahl-Wostl and JC Refsgaard. 2006. The importance of uncertainties and how they are addressed in IWRM. In Framework for adaptive water management regimes and for the transition between regimes. NeWater 6th framework program, Report D 1.7.1.

Hart QJ, M Brugnach and SL Ustin. 2005. Calculation of daily reference evapotranspiration for California using goes satellite measurements and CIMIS weather station interpolation. Technical report, California Department of Water Resources.