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The Friendship Paradox: why your friends are (probably) more popular than you

Ever feel like your friends know more people than you do? Don’t worry – it’s not a personal flaw. It’s a mathematical phenomenon known as the friendship paradox. On average, your friends have more friends than you. In this video from the Universiteit van Nederland, mathematician Clara Stegehuis from the University of Twente explains how this paradox works and why it matters.

Photo of Robin Kwakman
Robin Kwakman

What is the friendship paradox?

We all exist within social networks – made up of friends, family, colleagues, and acquaintances. Mathematicians have discovered that within these networks, a surprising pattern emerges: the people you’re connected to tend to have more connections than you do. This counterintuitive effect is what we call the friendship paradox.

In the video, Clara builds a simple network using nails and string to demonstrate how this works. She shows that individuals with many connections appear more frequently in others’ networks, skewing the average. Even though it seems impossible, the math checks out – and it applies to almost everyone.

Why does this matter?

The friendship paradox isn’t just an interesting quirk of network theory – it has real-world applications. For example, in the case of a contagious disease, understanding how networks function can help us stop the spread more effectively. If vaccine supplies are limited, it’s smarter to vaccinate the friends of randomly selected individuals. Why? Because those friends are statistically more likely to have more contacts and therefore pose a greater risk of spreading the virus. Research shows that this strategy can significantly improve the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns.

Come study at the University of Twente

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